Roberto Carballes Baena vs Christoph Negritu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the past six months, Negritu has outperformed Baena on second serve points, winning 46.88% compared to Baena's 42.91%. How does this impact predictions? A higher percentage often indicates better match outcomes.
• Return Game Stats: Recently, Baena shows a slight edge in returning opponents' second serves, with 48.11% compared to Negritu's 47.39%. Additionally, Baena surpasses Negritu in first serve returns, with figures at 28.74% versus 26.39%. Is this indicative of overall gameplay strength?
• Under Pressure: Negritu has demonstrated superior performance under pressure, saving 61.26% of breakpoints, while Baena has managed 56.07%. Could this be crucial for in-game pressure situations?
• Performance Overview: In the past year, Negritu's win rate of 63.22% outshines Baena's 53.57%, suggesting a stronger overall form.
• Best Surface: Negritu excels on Hard courts with a 61% win rate, whereas Baena prefers Clay with a 62% success rate. Does surface preference play a significant role here?
• Player Level: Negritu has earned a 59.42% win rate at Challengers/ITF levels, contrasted with Baena's 42.86% at the Main tour level. Does the level of play affect match outcome predictions?
• Opponent Quality: Negritu has faced lower-ranked opponents, averaging a 381.18 rank, while Baena has contended with opponents averaging a rank of 132.25.
• Deciding Set Performance: When matches go to a deciding set, Negritu has an edge, winning 62% of such sets, compared to Baena’s 50%. How might this affect the final set outcome?
• Break Point Conversion: Recently, Baena has shown more efficiency in converting breakpoints, with a conversion rate of 35.4% against Negritu's 31.05%.

Editorial Prediction (July 9, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match showcases Negritu's strong recent form, especially evident in their second serve performance and ability to handle pressure effectively. These factors are crucial, given their significant impact on match results.

While Baena demonstrates superior return stats and breakpoint conversion rates, Negritu's overall success rate and proficiency in deciding sets work in their favor. However, the quality of opponents they've faced differs significantly, which must be factored into the final evaluation.

Considering the different dynamics such as surface preference, match levels, and current form, Negritu appears to have a slight edge. While Baena’s strengths cannot be overlooked, Negritu's capacity to perform under pressure positions them as the probable winner of this tennis match.